Saxo Market Call

Today, a quick look around global markets, where the JPY can't find a bid as long as global bond markets are under pressure, the US stock market continues its odd, micro-volatile march higher and we have Netflix trying to acquire Warner Brothers-Discovery if the deal is approved, with the FT noting that some prior Warner Brothers takeovers have come at interesting market inflection points - see link below. Also, the big move in CAD on Friday and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

The FT notes a couple of prior Warner Brothers takeovers that came just before ugly bear markets.

The longer versions of the Saxo Market Call usually feature a John J. Hardy substack post to accompany the show, with links and the chart-of-the-day.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Today - US small caps posting all-time highs while the action in the major indices remains positive, but moribund. Elsewhere, the JPY is knocking on key support levels in USDJPY and EURJPY is faltering within its very restricted range - is something finally afoot for JPY bulls. A look at the week ahead in macro and company earnings and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Our link of the day is to the White House's recent National Security Strategy for the USA, which spells out the US stance to the rest of the world, which in rough terms will likely outlive the Trump administration.

There is no John J. Hardy substack to accompany today's podcast due to time constraints.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Today, we note that the recent divergences we have highlighted have almost begun to hyperextend, as small caps, transports and other sectors had a banner day even as Mag7 and Tech were decidedly meh. Elsewhere, FX is heating up as the US dollar is breaking down and sterling is breaking up, among other developments. This, a bit of throwing shade on the concept of "dry powder" and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

One interesting link discussed on today's pod was on Japan's new Tagei submarine class - and its revolutionary battery-driven tech.

There is no John J. Hardy substack to accompany today's podcast due to time constraints.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Today, a look at the many crosscurrents in this market as some beaten down names and formerly beaten down sectors have surged higher, while the attempt to get the AI and tech rally back on track has only been half-hearted. Also, macro and FX as the USD looks pivotal ahead of today's US data, some must reads and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Today - a look at another day of powerful rotation moves across themes in the equity market and even within AI, why we shouldn't care that much about who replaces Powell at the Fed, the UK budget countdown today and the likely fallout, more across FX and macro and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

 

Today, the stonx are back after a ripping session on Wall Street, as are AI stocks, led by Google and Broadcom as Nvidia suffers from the competition heating up. Also, a look at Novo's latest woes and what it may have lost when it didn't succeed in its bid for Metsera. Macro and FX and more on the call.

Today's reading link from Robin Brooks: The End of the Road for Japan on how Japan needs to change its ways as Takaichi's lil stimulus won't work.

No new John J. Hardy substack post for today, but have a look at past posts there for more inspiration from the chart-of-the-day and must read links, etc.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

 

Today we shake up the podcast format a bit, something we plan to do from here on out by offering shorter, sub-10 minute episodes for quicker turnaround, while keeping the longer format for perhaps once or twice a week. Today, a look at Friday's very interesting session that was chock full of remarkable divergences as small caps massively outperformed big tech. Also, some thoughts on European defense, crypto, macro and FX. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Today, we break down a truly remarkable session yesterday, with new local highs on the sentiment boost from Nvidia's strong earnings and guidance completely wiped out as the market was stung for a loss on the day and a massive tumble from the opening highs. This looks like a "tell" indicating profoundly weak sentiment. We question whether one of the angles is that the entire AI ecosystem faces both technical disruption and financial fragility based on faulty assumptions. We also look at the latest on macro and FX and note the horrible breakdown in crypto has been leading everything risk-related lower of late. Today's podcast is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.