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For the aspirational trader and financial markets professional. Coming at you two to three times a week, the Saxo Market Call is the high frequency podcast for real-time analysis of the financial markets across asset classes, from forex and rates to equities and commodities.
Episodes
Friday Jul 21, 2023
Friday Jul 21, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/44WWADd -
Today we look at the ugly break lower in the US equity market after the Tesla and Netflix earnings spoiled the party, with a snappy move higher in treasury yields possibly adding to the negative tilt in sentiment. We look at the technical implications of yesterday's break in the rally and note that the status of the US dollar bear market is suddenly in play as well after yesterday's punchy rally and the spike in yields. All of this with a critical week ahead as the FOMC, ECB and Bank of Japan lined up for next week. Today's pod features Kim Cramer Larsson on technical analysis, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Thursday Jul 20, 2023
Thursday Jul 20, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/44VbCcD -
US equities tested new highs yesterday but closed mixed, with Tesla and especially Netflix earnings after the close chilling risk sentiment, with focus on Netflix's weak guidance and concerns for Tesla centered on the margin story as Musk forecast further price cuts on Tesla's cars, with fewer details than hoped on the Cybertruck. Elsewhere, we have a look at the strong euro versus weak JPY and CNH and wonder whether the ECB's recent dovish turn is prompted from the currency angle. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by John J. Hardy.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Wednesday Jul 19, 2023
Wednesday Jul 19, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/44NGKKU -
US equities ripped to new highs for the cycle as financials got a boost from more banks and financial services companies reporting, led by a huge advance in Charles Schwab on a strong earnings beat and guidance. But Microsoft stole the limelight, adding $150 billion in market cap in announcing the pricing for its new AI tools. Elsewhere, sterling was walloped by a softer than expected CPI report - does this spell the end of sterling's strong performance after a remarkable first half of the year? Today's pod features a run-through of the technical analysis outlook for key stocks, indices and gold with our technical analyst Kim Cramer Larsson. Hosted by John J. Hardy.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Tuesday Jul 18, 2023
Tuesday Jul 18, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3XYOzeo -
US equities closed at new cycle highs yesterday as financials recovered sharply after the prior day's sell-off. The first two major US regional banks are set to report earnings today. Elsewhere, commodities prices suffered a drawdown as China-linked sentiment remains soft. In the earnings overview, we wonder whether Tesla's earnings report could inject some volatility into the very complacent backdrop, as the calm ironically increases market fragility and risk to any news that doesn't fit with the narrative. This and much more in today's pod, which is hosted by John J. Hardy.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Monday Jul 17, 2023
Monday Jul 17, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3pZ7bhT -
The equity market was unable to hold an extension of the steep rally on Friday, with financials leading the intrasession selling. Strong results from JP Morgan and Wells Fargo saw those shares gapping strongly higher on the open, but generally selling off thereafter. In FX, the USD backed up after a strong US University of Michigan sentiment report for July that boosted yields, but last week on balance saw a firm break lower in the USD's fortunes. In commodities, we focus on crude oil and the divergent and volatile grains markets. We also look at the week ahead in earning and macro risks and more. Today's pod features Ole Hansen on commodities with John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Friday Jul 14, 2023
Friday Jul 14, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/44n5rhj -
The equity market rallied continued apace yesterday, encouraged by a drop in treasury yields all along the curve and benign US PPI data. Earnings season kicks off in earnest today and gathers pace next week - can companies deliver after the aggressive expansion of multiples over the last three months? In FX, we note that in trade-weighted terms, the Euro is at all time high (nominal effective terms according to ECB measure). We also note the rising anticipation that the Bank of Japan may have to tweak policy at its meeting in two weeks. Commodities have also been rocked by developments, where today we focus on crude oil, copper and silver. Today's pod features Ole Hansen on commodities with John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Thursday Jul 13, 2023
Thursday Jul 13, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://shorturl.at/hyW13 -
Equities got the best of all worlds yesterday with US June inflation figures surprising to the downside painting a perfect picture of lower inflation, higher real disposable income, and no landing in the global economy (maybe even an acceleration?) leading to a US yield curve steepening with long bond yields declining. With animal spirits already running high this new setup took US equities to new highs for the cycle and the highest close in 15 months. We also cover the moves across other asset classes as the USD fell sharply and gold and silver rallied hard. This and more on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole S Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Wednesday Jul 12, 2023
Wednesday Jul 12, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3PR5uO8 -
Equity sentiment continued to strengthen in Europe and US today, with Japan's equities under pressure from the recent sharp strengthening of the Japanese yen. A big test for USDJPY and the US dollar in general over today's June US CPI data as the dollar index trades near the big range lows of this year. In equities, we break down why the Nasdaq 100 index rebalancing should prove much ado about not-so-much in the near term and note that most of the upside in equities over the last quarter has been on multiple expansion more than anticipation of earnings growth. In fixed income, we note the extreme outperformance of junk debt this year and wonder when elevated US yields will begin to attract more assets into cash and short treasuries from equities. This and more on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic