Saxo Market Call

The 9-minute: Stonx FTW!

Today, the stonx are back after a ripping session on Wall Street, as are AI stocks, led by Google and Broadcom as Nvidia suffers from the competition heating up. Also, a look at Novo's latest woes and what it may have lost when it didn't succeed in its bid for Metsera. Macro and FX and more on the call.

Today's reading link from Robin Brooks: The End of the Road for Japan on how Japan needs to change its ways as Takaichi's lil stimulus won't work.

No new John J. Hardy substack post for today, but have a look at past posts there for more inspiration from the chart-of-the-day and must read links, etc.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

 

Welcome to the 9-minute.

Today we shake up the podcast format a bit, something we plan to do from here on out by offering shorter, sub-10 minute episodes for quicker turnaround, while keeping the longer format for perhaps once or twice a week. Today, a look at Friday's very interesting session that was chock full of remarkable divergences as small caps massively outperformed big tech. Also, some thoughts on European defense, crypto, macro and FX. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Yesterday looked like an ugly "tell" for the market. Be careful out there.

Today, we break down a truly remarkable session yesterday, with new local highs on the sentiment boost from Nvidia's strong earnings and guidance completely wiped out as the market was stung for a loss on the day and a massive tumble from the opening highs. This looks like a "tell" indicating profoundly weak sentiment. We question whether one of the angles is that the entire AI ecosystem faces both technical disruption and financial fragility based on faulty assumptions. We also look at the latest on macro and FX and note the horrible breakdown in crypto has been leading everything risk-related lower of late. Today's podcast is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

AI trade gets Nvidia earnings boost while JPY spins into the abyss

The market is trying to get back on the rally train on a strong Nvidia earnings report, although returning to trend will require some heavy lifting into options expiry this Friday - a failure here would be ugly. We discuss Nvidia earnings and what we're looking for from the company in coming quarters with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo. Elsewhere, we note the fresh profound JPY weakness ahead of the fiscal package announcement tomorrow in Japan as the market breaks out the EM playbook for the currency. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

It's showtime for Nvidia tonight: can its earnings right market sentiment?

Today, a look at the confluence of pivotal market technicals and the big event risk of the earnings calendar tonight after the close: Nvidia. How will the market treat this? Also, it is worth spending a bit of time contemplating the macro implications of what is going on in Japan, its bond market and the coming fiscal package announcement on Friday. Macro, FX, US- and geopolitics and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Risk off has gone global, even as US treasuries and FX press snooze

Today, we note that the market's stabilization attempt from Friday seems to have failed as risk-off has gone global in equities, perhaps led by the meltdown in Bitcoin. Amidst the deepening unease, it's remarkable that bond markets, with the notable exception of Japan, remain calm, while transmission into FX is minimal. But the tension is building, with a key event risk on Friday for Japan possibly set to unleash volatility. This and much more on today's podcast, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Friday gave us a line in the sand ahead of Nvidia earnings

Today, a look at the further meltdown in risk sentiment that was corralled on Friday before any bigger breakdown, which has now given us a technical line in the sand ahead of the critical Nvidia earnings report this Wednesday after the close. We also look at technical levels, crypto's comeback from a test of key levels, other key earnings ahead this week, macro and FX and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

AI leading equity market nosedive. Also: USD no safe haven?

Today, we cover the very ugly day for US equity markets, with the selling quite broad, but most concentrated in AI-related and crypto-related names as the latter is in a real funk and suggests poor liquidity. With Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, we pick out several names to discuss including Oracle and Disney. Also, we look to next Wednesday's Nvidia earnings report as the next critical event risk for this market, noting other big retail names reporting in the US as well, including Walmart. Macro, FX and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. 

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.