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For the aspirational trader and financial markets professional. Coming at you two to three times a week, the Saxo Market Call is the high frequency podcast for real-time analysis of the financial markets across asset classes, from forex and rates to equities and commodities.
Episodes
Wednesday May 17, 2023
Wednesday May 17, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3pJWL5o -
Today we ask whether it is the 0DTE phenomenon (zero-days-to-expiry in S&P 500 in particular) that has dampened volatility so extraordinarily of late and how long this phenomenon can continue to bottle up the market. We also take a look at US Retail helping to shock the USD stronger and push metals lower again, with gold taking out 2,000/ounce. Stocks to watch include Target and Walmart for more on the US consumer. The earnings outlook supporting European equities (including from Siemens), crude oil, the risk of a leg of stronger US dollar and much more on the call. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Tuesday May 16, 2023
Tuesday May 16, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/42Y5HSX -
Today we highlight the enormous confusion and uncertainty in this market as elevated, but extremely rangebound markets are at odds with market pricing for an incoming recession and "the experts" have the most diverse set of opinions imaginable. Meanwhile, we get the latest extreme data points that don't provide any clarity: a wildly negative US May Empire Manufacturing survey after the strong April number and then a huge drop in UK payrolls in April that the market stumbled over and then largely ignored. Elsewhere we highlight stocks to watch, including Home Depot on its earnings release today and the debt ceiling meeting set for later today that will offer some insight on how sensitive the market is to that issue as we near the crunch time for US default risks. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Monday May 15, 2023
Monday May 15, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3pIVWto -
Today we note the release of the preliminary University of Michigan sentiment survey, which showed the expectations component tanking badly while longer term inflation expectations suddenly ticked higher to their highest since 2011. Elsewhere, we note huge US credit growth as a possible sign of distress, the important macro data and earnings reports in the week ahead, the lack of a notable animal spirits in either direction in equities and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Friday May 12, 2023
Friday May 12, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3O4VL5Y -
In this first edition of the Saxo Market Call podcast Listeners' Edition - we take a look at the many answers to our listener survey. Thanks very much to the Saxo Market Call community for the strong response. To address more of your questions, we have decided to make the survey a biweekly one, so we will follow up on more of your questions next week. We also have a brief market wrap at the end of today's pod, covering Google AI, copper breaking key support and sterling selling off on the Bank of England and more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Thursday May 11, 2023
Thursday May 11, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/42s3qj1 -
In today's podcast, we note the market's choppy, but in the end positive embrace of the slightly softer US CPI data point yesterday as US treasury yields eased. On that note, we suggest that a crisis is almost needed to justify the market's forward expectations for the Fed, as pricing of significant easing starting later this year intensified yesterday. Could the debt ceiling issue drive that possible crisis scenario? Elsewhere, we preview today's Bank of England meeting and wonder whether the recent sterling surge means this will drive a "sell-the-fact" moment, as seemingly everything that tries to get moving ends up mean reverting (former EUR strength now erased, former JPY weakness now partially erased, etc..) We also talk Disney's woeful streaming results and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Wednesday May 10, 2023
Wednesday May 10, 2023
Responses to our new weekly Saxo Market Call Survey are pouring in. If you haven't accessed the survey yet, don't miss out on your chance to provide feedback and drive the content this Friday's podcast: https://bit.ly/42jEiLg -
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3nM683M -
In today's podcast, we note that, while today's US CPI release is the US data highlight of the week, that it is unlikely to drive a significant shift in forward Fed expectations unless there is a rather profound shock in the numbers (more likely on a hot number than a cooler one). Elsewhere, we talk Stanley Druckenmiller's imminent recession and "hard landing" call, the dire situation for US office REITS and dark clouds over Blackstone on the commercial real estate worries made worse by the recent bank turmoil, crude oil & grains, incoming earnings, and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Tuesday May 09, 2023
Tuesday May 09, 2023
Please take the new weekly Saxo Market Call Survey: your weekly chance to provide feedback and drive the content of the Wednesday and Friday podcasts!
Link to today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3NN4uK1 -
In today's podcast, we note that the market is scratching around for catalysts as we await US CPI data tomorrow and wonder whether it will even prove a catalyst. The most interesting news overnight was the surprising plunge in China's imports in April, further challenging the "re-opening" narrative. We also look at gold, stocks to watch today, the challenges for Sweden's financial system, earnings to watch and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Monday May 08, 2023
Monday May 08, 2023
Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3nClmbx -
Today we look at the big sentiment shift on Friday, in part driven by strong US April payrolls growth (although do note the negative revision of March data), but also driven by improved sentiment in US regional banks. We look at remarkably stretched positioning in US treasury futures for at least part of the curve, highlight the big shift in currencies late last week, note the treacherous shifts in the oil market, break down the week ahead in earnings, note the geopolitical risks in owning Apple shares, Warren Buffett's concerns on the US-China relationship, the week ahead on the macro calendar, especially the Wednesday US April CPI release, and more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.
Click here to open an account with Saxo -
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic