Saxo Market Call

Markets finally dip as shutdown risk looms. Lithium on the brain...

Today a look at the US equity market finally suffering a down day, perhaps in part as government shutdown risks are growing ahead of the September 30 deadline. We note increasing signs of a harder US attitude against Russia from the Trump administration, break down the latest disappointing news from Germany's economic data, what's going on in macro and FX and how one US lithium company saw as much as a 75% surge after hours after the Trump administration expressed interest in taking partial ownership. This and much more in today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Our AI basket and what does it mean to call something a bubble?

Today we discuss a mixed session in the US, even with Apple and key AI stocks dragging the overall market indices higher. We also look at the latest boost to AI stocks as Nvidia decides to "vendor finance" OpenAI data centers to the tune of USD 100 billion as we discuss the performance of an AI basket of 24 stocks. We also discuss precious metals shooting the lights out while crude oil drags along with Saxo's Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

The paper company suddenly worth $20 billion.

Today, we look at the still narrow US equity market managing to post new all-time highs, while the broader market is mixed. Some signs of froth are forming in this market as some of the most speculative stocks, including quantum computing names and one we profile that is really not much more than a bunch of promises at this point, are ramping exponentially on the latest news flow, even when earnings are years away. We also look at the follow-on reaction to the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings, what to watch this week and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

As painfully contrarian as ever here on triple witching day.

Today we run down another solid session for the US market, with enthusiasm in abundance on the Nvidia investment in Intel, a development we discuss with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, together with the surge in ASML and Crowdstrike yesterday. Also, a preview of some names reporting next week, including recent darling Micron, key developments in FX as the US dollar is on the comeback path and the JPY churns post-BoJ. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Snappy FOMC takeaways versus seeing the forest for the trees

The market was desperate for FOMC takeaways, but alas, despite interesting details, the overall picture was one that mostly validated the existing lay of the land, resulting in some choppy market action but no big changes in the macro or FX picture by later this morning in Europe, though risk appetite seems to be getting a further boost. Are equity investors overreaching soon? Also on today's pod, single stock news, a look at the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting tonight as the JPY punches to new lows in place and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Final thoughts on FOMC as one critical market indicator flashes red

Today, some final thoughts on what could be a shambolic FOMC meeting, given the risk of a three-way vote and possibly vague statements, given the possible influence of newly minted Fed Governor Stephen Miran. Also, a very interesting development yesterday suggests Fed control of interest rates is slipping - or is this just a one off because of tonight's meeting? Elsewhere, the US dollar has broken down. This, some must reads and must listens and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Is there any surprise scenario for tomorrow's FOMC?

Today, a breakdown of the market action yesterday in US equities, with big games in Google-parent Alphabet and even bigger gains in an "old tech" stock that has suddenly been revivified by AI. We also look forward to the FOMC tomorrow and wonder why the Fed doesn't go ahead and cut 50 basis points, even if they are most likely not to. Meanwhile, the US dollar is already breaking lower ahead of the fact - after all, isn't the hawkish scenario non-existent?  Lots more also on today's pod which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Divergences continue to build - which way for the volatility breakout?

Today we look through the divergences that continue to characterize the action across US equities, with some of the most speculative areas - especially Tesla - on fire on Friday even as the median stock had a rather weak day. As volatility continues to crush lower, this could mean we are headed for a volatility breakout, but in what direction? Also, a look at geopolitical developments, including in rare earths, some must reads and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Link to Ruben's article on European companies with strong AI exposure.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.