Saxo Market Call

Market melts down as recession risks go global

Today's slide deck.    -

Today we look at a historic, very bad day for US markets in the wake of Trump's Liberation Day tariffs as the market positions for disruption and widening recession risks. On that note, Europe is certainly at risk, especially relative to recent enthusiasm. Elsewhere, we talk through the FX market and how risk off may see some shifts in recent patterns, look at precious metals after the plunge in silver, discuss what OPEC+ just did that added to the downdraft in crude oil prices, and much more. On today's pod were Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting.

Read John's FX Update from this morning, April 4.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

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Markets on tilt after Trump's Liberation Day tariff blitz

Trump's Liberation Day tariffs proved far larger than expected and have markets in a defensive posture for good reason. Today we break down why this moment has come as well as what to watch for as the ongoing impact of this historic policy move unfolds. Today hosted by John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy.

 

White House official announcement on the tariffs: https://bit.ly/4ld2E3e 

Michael Every's latest after the new tariffs: https://bit.ly/4iSClO7 

Yanis Varoufakis on this once-in-a-generation moment: https://bit.ly/3E1VP3U 

 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

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Bracing for Liberation Day

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4lbxQ2T   -

Today we look at the state of the market a day ahead of Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcements as the market braces for impact. We also discuss the outlook for gold now that it has tacked on another massive rally and run down the performance across the commodity complex in Q1, where gold was surprisingly not the top performer. The latest developments in FX, equity technical levels of note and our top must reads also in today's podcast, which features Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

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Did Trump just blink?

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4iEdDRG   -  

Trump is supposedly set to go easier than originally planned with the reciprocal tariffs to be announced next Wednesday, April 2. There are few details on this story, which provided the strong boost to risk sentiment today. Does this mean that Trump has "blinked" on the tariff issue? We assess where we are and what to watch for across asset classes, as well as highlighting incoming economic data and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo's John J. Hardy.

 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

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US market found some support, but how durable will it be?

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3DLe6SW   -

The US market found some more solid buying support than it has in a while, but not yet enough to turn the technical tide. We look at what forces could drive the market in either direction, but suspect that US under-performance relative to a hard charging Europe may be here to stay for a while. A thorough look at FX, gold and silver, important links, the macro calendar and more on today's pod, which features Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy on FX and Macro.

John's latest FX Update.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

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Is silver set to shoot the lights out?

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3DwZZR8   -

Today we run down some small divergences that could spell near term relief on risk sentiment, even if there is a steep hill to climb to significantly reverse this market rise. We also discuss gold trading at $3,000 per ounce and whether silver is set for brisk and large rally higher if it can break above the 35+ dollar per ounce level. Thoughts on crude oil, copper, a great set of links for further reading and much more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's latest FX Update

 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

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US un-exceptionalism is the theme

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/43zRWgK     -

Today we look at the massive further slide in US equities, which has taken the Nasdaq 100 to the next significant support point. We also note the reasons that the US has been in for an exceptional pounding relative to the rest of the world, have a look at key commodities like gold, oil and grains, rundown the latest in and FX, the latest link-a-palooza and a VERY important event risk on Friday of this week. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, with Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Link to Ole's COT Report analysis

Link to John's latest FX Update

 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

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US bear market risks ratchet higher. EUR train has left the station.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4bvm276   -

Today we look at the US stock market correction crossing its first key technical Rubicon as bear market risks ratchet higher. We also discuss the spiking Euro, Japan's likely desire to get USDJPY a lot lower, key commodities markets like oil, natural gas and copper and much more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

 

Link to John's latest FX Update: 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.