Saxo Market Call

New wave of an AI-led bullish nirvana or a bull trap?

Today, much of the AI "pick and shovels" space is aflame on Meta CapEx plans and other announcements after the latter, Tesla and Microsoft all reported earnings yesterday. The average stock had a weak day yesterday, however, even as the S&P 500 touched 7,000 for the first time. Also, a look at the latest chaotic action in gold and silver prices and how the market is becoming increasingly dysfunctional and dangerous. Oil and gas prices, macro and FX and more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Trump blasts an already weak USD with offhand comments

Today, a look at the focus on FX intensifying after Trump comments blasted an already weak US dollar lower still ahead of today's not-so-anticipated FOMC meeting, given that all market focus for the Fed is on the identity of Trump's nominee to replace Powell in May. More on the yen and other currencies. Also on today's pod, US tech stocks attempting a breakout ahead of key Mag7 earnings incoming, what could greenlight a SpaceX IPO, latest on gold and silver and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's The FX Trader piece from Wednesday, Jan 28.

For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Lots of irons in the fire, from JPY surge to silver chop and Nasdaq 100 technicals

Today, we note the flip in US equity market internals while noting what might be driving it ahead of critical Mag7 earnings and as the Nasdaq 100 once again has rallied to a massive resistance area. As well, Japanese yen volatility is only one focus in currencies as the US dollar is heavily on tilt here, while two-way silver volatility has reached almost absurd levels - is that compressing the timeline to at least a temporary top? This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

A massive signal on the yen and metals mayhem intensifying

Friday gave us a huge signal that the US may be extending Japan a helping hand in preventing further yen weakness - certainly effective for putting a floor on the JPY price from here on out - but how should we read the US dollar on this apparent move? Elsewhere, US natural gas prices are spiking wildly if only for the front contract on the winter storm there and precious metals prices have extended aggressively once again as silver sliced through 100 dollars an ounce. This and more as earnings season heats up this week. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Little and not so little grenades rolling around...

Today, markets are happy to have dodged a US-Europe trade war this week, but we consider a few issues (besides the acceleration in high-impact earnings reports next week), or "grenades" that may or may not go off from here: first, whether this winter storm hitting the US could have an impact, among other things, on AI data centres - not in a storm sense, but in a storm of protest sense, second, the EU Mercosur trade deal and whether this opens up internal strife within key EU institutions, and third, a very delayed-fused situation for sterling and gilts linked to Labour party politics in the UK. Also, the BoJ, whether FX vol is finally heating up and much more on the pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy

Here's that link to that piece on the US and Europe not speaking the same structural language on the world order, indicative of the overall massive rift that remains despite not engaging in a trade showdown this week.

For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Massive ice storm set to knock US as sentiment celebrates a supposed TACO.

Markets are rushing higher on the Trump "TACO" on tariffs against European countries and on calling off any military option for the US taking Greenland. We continue to look at massive divergences in market internals. Elsewhere, natural gas has mounted a stunning rally as the US is headed for a natural disaster on a possibly unprecedented geographical scale as an ice storm could cut power to whole regions of the US for extended periods and spike utility bills. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Don't forget rates as we await a Davos Octagon or a Davos TACO.

Today, another rundown of any number of possible outcomes from Davos after Trump touches down to negotiate with or browbeat European counterparts on the Greenland issue, a continued focus on the implications of Japanese policy moves to address instability in its bond market, the Mag7 leading the market lower, and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Between a Greenland rock and a JGB hard place

Today, looking at markets in a bad place on concerns for US-Europe relations over Trump's Greenland ambitions, a situation that could fester for global markets even if the European position collapses and there is no major escalation of tariffs or other measures between the two sides. Also, the Japanese government bond market is flashing bright red now after a meltdown in the longest dated JGB's overnight - meaning that the next policy move is incoming, with no attractive options from which to choose. This and more in today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.