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The Saxo strategy team delivers insights and opinions about financial markets in a series of weekly podcasts covering all asset classes. Monday is our conversation about macroeconomy, currencies, and central banks. Tuesday is all about fixed-income ranging from governments bonds to credit. Wednesday is a jump into global equities covering earnings, themes, and single stocks. Thursday is our journey into commodities covering everything from natural gas to soybeans.
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Friday Jun 24, 2022
Friday Jun 24, 2022
Slide deck: https://bit.ly/3A33BGo -
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Today we look back at yesterday's historic session with big moves lower in the US and German 2-year yields responding to PMI figures for June indicating a more rapid decline in economic activity than estimated by economists. This is naturally lifting the recession probability and the timing of it causing safe-haven flows into bonds. The most interest rate sensitive parts of the equity market were the winners yesterday such as biotechnology and bubble stocks. Across currencies we observe weakness in the USD, AUD, and NOK reflecting lower economic activity, and the pressure is also coming of the JPY due to yesterday's rates move. On commodities we touch on the weakness in wheat and the tight physical market in oil. Other topics covered are the guidance cut from Zalando and container freight rates coming down. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and Ole Hansen on commodities.
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic