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From macroeconomy and politics to stocks and bonds, commodities and forex, the Saxo Market Call is a weekly show for all investors who want to be updated on what moves financial markets in an inspiring and engaging way.
Episodes
Thursday Dec 14, 2023
Thursday Dec 14, 2023
In this episode we discuss what we have chosen to be the best outrageous prediction for 2024 sent to us by our clients at Saxo. The outrageous prediction is simply that government abandons the GDP measure as the yardstick for progress and how to steer the economy. Given that rising GDP has been the key policy objective by developed countries since the Great Depression this would truly be an outrageous prediction. We discuss this outrageous idea and the problems with GDP in a greater macroeconomic context, with Peter Garnry and Steen Jakobsen.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Tuesday Dec 12, 2023
Tuesday Dec 12, 2023
This is likely the last podcast on fixed income this year so we take a look at the current situation with rate decisions this week from the Fed, ECB and BoE. We also go through the key events and performances across bonds in 2023 with high yield bonds and the Austrian 100-year bond being some of the biggest surprises. Finally, we talk about what to expect in bonds next year as the market has fixed its expectations on lower inflation and lower policy rates, with Peter Garnry and Althea Spinozzi.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Monday Dec 11, 2023
Monday Dec 11, 2023
This week is crucial for markets given the big moves last week across gold and JPY with Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday supporting the soft landing narrative. Tomorrow, the US inflation report will set the stage for the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday and the key focus is still on services inflation. On Thursday, ECB and BoE will deliver rate decisions and Friday will end the week with key PMI figures across the Eurozone, UK and the US. Central banks will not keep rates so the market will focus on the details in the communication and it feels that markets are sensitive to changes in the narrative around monetary policy and inflation so this week could become more volatile than expected, with Charu Chanana and Peter Garnry.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Wednesday Dec 06, 2023
Wednesday Dec 06, 2023
Today we discuss equity market performance across country indices and thematic baskets highlighting Nasdaq 100 as the big winner together with semiconductors and cyber security. We also talk about the equal weighted performance between US and European equities which has not been that bad after all for Europe. We also discuss the current policy rate cuts priced in markets and how for now they are viewed as a positive thing but that it could quickly change. Finally, we flag upcoming earnings releases the next week from Lululemon, Oracle, and Adobe, with Peter Garnry.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Tuesday Dec 05, 2023
Tuesday Dec 05, 2023
Link to our publication -> Outrageous Predictions 2024: The end of the road
It is the time of year when Saxo releases its Outrageous Predictions. For 2024 our Outrageous Predictions are titled The end of the road building on the idea, that the world is set for a very different journey than the calm environment post the pandemic with little geopolitical risks, stable technology backdrop, low inflation, and low interest rates. Three our outrageous predictions are 1) With oil at $150, Saudis buy the Champion League franchise, 2) generative AI deepfake triggers a national security crisis, and 3) Robert F. Kennedy Jr wins the 2024 US presidential election. In the podcast, we discuss all of our outrageous predictions, with Peter Garnry and Althea Spinozzi.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Monday Dec 04, 2023
Monday Dec 04, 2023
Last week's backdrop was shaped by Fed Waller's comments about rate hikes had ended and the market got into overdrive mode on those comments and soft inflation figures repricing bond yields lower across the curve. This week will be interesting with key macro figures across JOTLS job opening ISM Services tomorrow and Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday. The USD also finally turned around last week and gold spot was also reacting forcefully to the lower bond yields. Finally, with RBA rate decision coming up in Asia session tonight, with Charu Chanana and Peter Garnry.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
Thursday Nov 30, 2023
Thursday Nov 30, 2023
Oil markets await the upcoming OPEC decision with the expectation to another production cut to bolster favourable conditions for oil markets. We also discuss the diverging performance across many commodities in November including coffee up 8% and US natural gas down 25% as the peak rate narrative sets in, with Ole S Hansen and Peter Garnry.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the SaxoStrats here.
Wednesday Nov 29, 2023
Wednesday Nov 29, 2023
Today we reflect on the meteoric rise in the index weights of mega caps as a function of the generative AI hype this year pushing S&P 500 index concentration to the highest recorded since 1991. The cyber security is a super interesting industry for many reasons that we go through in addition to our reflections on CrowdStrike earnings. Finally, we discuss the wisdom of the now late Charlie Munger and the influence he had on Warren Buffett and some of his key opinions on investing and why he did not like the accounting metric EBITDA , with Peter Garnry.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.
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