Saxo Market Call

AI theme reheating as Trump coalition fragility a rising talking point

Today a quick update on another strong day for risk sentiment as the AI focus is reheating with a significant rise in AI commitments from Meta and even Intel showing signs of life. Also, a quick rundown on the important of today's US CPI release for May and some thoughts on what is at stake here if Trump's coalition is increasingly fragile and the implications if so. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's final article in four-part series on Rules for the Trump 2.0 Market Era.

 

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Paging the next catalyst, please!

Today we look at a market that shows signs of lower volatility and rising complacency as we wonder what will provide the next catalyst - perhaps tomorrow's US May CPI release? Also, some thoughts on whether Trump's "madman" strategy is the right way to view what he is doing in trade negotiations. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy, John J. Hardy.

Link to John's latest FX Update  (From June 10)

 

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Silver rips as Musk-Trump bromance trips

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3ZlIZVD 

Today, we look at whether the major Musk-Trump rift was one of the chief drivers of weak risk sentiment in US markets yesterday even beyond the Tesla fallout, as we also got further evidence of weak US labor market data. In markets, the standout development was silver ripping through resistance and posting new 13-year highs. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

 

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Crossfire hurricane ahead of US jobs report

Today, we discuss yesterday's weak US numbers cratering the US dollar, if once again not decisively, and boosting US treasuries. Equities provided little inspiration and it feels like the market is at a loss with what to do here with a crossfire of three massive issues possibly pulling things in very different directions. Today's podcast hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

 

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Trump doesn't like TACO. USD breaking down?

Today, a look at global equities and the US dollar on tilt as a new week and a new month get underway as geopolitical and trade tensions ratchet higher again, especially on Trump's doubling of steel and aluminum tariffs (was this in response to his finding out about the "TACO trade"? (Trump Always Chickens Out)). A rundown of the raft of the key US data up this week ahead and more also on the pod, which is hosted today by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's latest FX Update. 

 

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Yesterday gave equity bears and USD bears a hook

Today we look at what looked like a key reversal day for the near term yesterday - as the US equity market rolled over after attempting to pierce key resistance, and the US dollar rally attempt was likewise crushed. Also, we cover the Nvidia earnings, some key provisions in the "big beautiful bill" that could spell trouble for US markets and the USD and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

 

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Nvidia to determine whether US stocks can achieve new highs

Risk sentiment is positive ahead of the next critical event that will determine whether the US market can achieve new all-time highs: the Nvidia's earnings call after the close today. Elsewhere, still signs of trouble in Japan's bond market, even as the pressure on the US treasury market has continued to ease, helping fuel risk sentiment. Thoughts on gold, crude, uranium and more also on the pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

 

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Japan beating US to the punch in addressing long bond yields

Today a look at Japanese Government Bond yields getting crushed overnight on signs that the MoF is planning to tweak its issuance to avoid further pressure on long yields. This inspired a JPY sell-off and the US dollar has backed up across the board as well. Elsewhere, risk appetite is in fine form, if we have some longer term concerns on heavy retail participation. Today's pod hosted by Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy

Jacob's preview of Nvidia earnings

John's second article in four-part series covering Rule #2 for Trading and Investing in the Trump 2.0 era.

 

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Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

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