Saxo Market Call

AI picks & shovels versus AI miners. Also: "Gimme a stimmie!"

Today we look at another fascinating session full of divergences, particularly the clearly emerging pattern of AI "picks and shovels" sellers (hardware makers, particularly in chips) performing well versus the biggest spenders on "miners" or those investing in AI data center capacity. Meanwhile, will there be any power to drive further growth? A rundown of the massive comeback in gold, energy and more with with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, notably connecting Trump's turn left and fresh talk of "stimmies" or stimulus checks and the implications. Macro and FX and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

One day, is gonna be the day, the K-shape really gets to you

By now you should have some how realized the things you oughta do... Okay enough of that...(Hint - goofing around with alternative lyrics to the Oasis song Wonderwall). Today's theme and the links (see below) are clearly the K-shaped economy and what that means for the long run. But we also cover some fresh interesting divergences in yesterday's action, macro and FX moves and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

As market comeback continues, remembering those who served.

On Veterans' Day, remembering those we know and knew that served, we note that the market comeback is nearly complete with only the last shreds of resistance remaining ahead of the recent top, look at some results from Coreweave, Softbank and Rocket Labs, the coming end of the government shutdown, macro data from UK hitting sterling, how AI data center infrastructure ages, some interesting links for the day and more.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Most significant market correction since April - is it over?

Today, a look at markets bouncing back with considerable enthusiasm as the US government shutdown may be set to end in coming days, though it's worth noting we are only seven days removed from record highs as the market completely ignored the shutdown issue in the first place. Also, talking precious metals and natural gas with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, macro and FX, whether US President Trump is turning hard left, incoming earnings and lots of must read and must listen links. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

We are at a tipping point - which way do we tip?

Another ugly day on the US markets as the AI bubble focus heats up and key names are bleeding, from Nvidia and Palantir to Meta and Oracle. With VIX near pivotal levels, it feels like we need to find support here or risk a further and possibly accelerating consolidation in this bull market. That's important for other markets as well, as bond and FX markets have shrugged off the volatility in risk assets so far but can't remain immune to the contagion if risk sentiment deteriorates further. This and more discussed on today's pod, which features Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

A critical constraint for AI infrastructure spending: it's not about the chips.

Today, a look at the market's attempt to recover from the recent sell-off, noting at least one key name that is not participating in the comeback and noting sectors that are sending off diverging signals. Also on today's pod: key companies reporting and results incoming, macro and FX, some must reads and listens on what could hold AI back even if the hope to spend even more on data centres and more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Corrections without obvious drivers to be taken more seriously?

Today - a rundown of yesterday's significant, if rather mega-cap and AI-concentrated market correction and its possible drivers, including the idea that the drivers weren't so obvious, and possibly therefore a bit more ominous. Still, it is worth noting the lack of contagion into other assets so far as we ponder next steps across markets, including in rates and FX. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Bubbliest of the bubbly companies on deck with earnings. FX heating up?

We are much of the way through earnings season, although some of the bubbliest of the big bubbly names are reporting earnings this week, including speculative favorite Palantir today, while Applovin reports tomorrow and Robinhood, the top performer of the S&P 500 this year, reports on Wednesday. Also today, we look at the state of play in commodities markets with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, including soybeans, gold and crude oil, run through some more compelling developments in FX and much more. Hosting the pod is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.